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Recent posts: "How should we analyse survey forecasts of AI timelines?", "Elevated computing", "How to run Cronicle (a cron replacement) in a Docker container", "How much of the fall in fertility could be explained by lower mortality?", "The special case of the normal likelihood function", "How to circumvent Sci-Hub ISP block", "Modified respirator to shield myself and others from COVID", "Efficient validity checking in monadic predicate logic", "Protecting yourself from Vanguard's poor security practices", "Eliciting probability distributions from quantiles", "Debugging surprising behavior in SciPy numerical integration", "How long does it take to sample from a distribution?", "Hidden subsidies for cars", "Why scientific fraud is hard to catch", "A shift in arguments for AI risk", "How to use a pebble smartwatch as a pomodoro timer&
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